[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the flop 3-bet. The rest looks good.
[/ QUOTE ]
Hmm... So you don't think that I have 33% pot equity here? The 3-bet was intended for value, thinking I had a decent shot at having the best draw, along with having 5 fairly good outs on the pair.
Is it just a matter of being up against either a made flush or an A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] too often?
[/ QUOTE ]
CO is passive, so he's probably got at least a Q here, but possibly the lone A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
Button's calling with something. It could be junk, it could be a Q, it could be the A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], or it could be another spade.
The thing is, against their ranges of hands, you need the cards to be setup perfectly for either your K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] to be good OR for your J to be good. Pretty often here, they've collectively got the A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and the Q. (or some other made hand that has you beat).
The times your K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] is the highest spade out there, which is a considerable portion of the time, your opponents are also more likely to be holding spades, making your outs to the flush more like 7.
These flop 3-bets are usually pretty thin 3-way. Like I said in
this post, pumping flush draws is overrated. There are good times to do it, but generally you need a better reason than "I have a flush draw" to do it 3-way.