Re: Crazy bubble play?
I think this is an easy push if button has been raising a lot. You really can't expect BB to have a hand he'll call all in with when you reraised. BB's range should be really tight.
Outcomes (Estimate):
1. 70% Both Fold
You profit 400, stack is 2185.
2. 10% Dominated
7.5% You lose.
2.5% You got lucky, large chip lead.
3. 20% Opponent calls w/ worse hand
13.5% You get large chip lead
6.5% Opponent gets lucky, you lose.
My guess is 14% of the time, you lose. 16% of the time you double up. Take this advice as an estimation - no warranty attached.
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