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Old 07-08-2005, 10:54 AM
schubes schubes is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: St Paul (and its twin), MN
Posts: 128
Default Re: 5 card Draw situation

If he's aggressive enough that you are uncertain about folding when he bets in a situation like this, you need to raise or fold AK, depending on how likely he is to fold the blind.

If you say he has been playing aggressive then your default assumption should be his bet is a bluff more than 1/3 of the time, and you should call.

But you can do better than this. When there is no complete donk in the game, these tricky postdraw situations (and proper blind stealing) are where you get your edge. You want to determine if he will bluff enough for you to call on this particular hand. Has he been caught in a bluff recently? Have you been paying him off too much or folding too much? etc.

This may seem complicated, but default plays don't work very well postdraw. Try to outplay them.
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