Re: ugly combo draw hand
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I think you have to fold the turn. Never mind the marginal express odds, it's over 1/3 of your stack.
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Well, the fact that it's 1/3 doesn't automatically make it a fold. If he were even money to get there, for example, he'd have to call. You're right though that if it's marginal you're better off not risking 1/3 of your stack, and that was my original thought. But look how many freaking outs he has! 9flush + 6straight = 15 clean outs, where he probably can get 250 from the 9 flush outs and all 720 from the 6 straight outs, plus 3 ace outs that are more than likely good and he can probably also get another 200 from. That makes a whopping 18 outs with a likely 250+ chip payoff, so 3+:1 odds on a 1.5:1 shot?? His hand is just so much better than I originally thought.
Kings
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