Re: Math vs Psychology
Edited: misread the post
Given your read, unless you have some special reason to believe that he's bluffing or semibluffing, I'd dump it. The instaraise is weird, but it could just be to make it seem like a bluff (not an uncommon tactic). If youre behind this hand is going to get very expensive to continue. His little preflop taunt sets up for a bluff, but on a board you're so likely to hit I doubt he expects to push you off much of a hand.
Kings
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