Re: Overpair to a monotone flop -- how\'s my river value bet look?
"I'm looking good against those cards considering at least some of his 15 outs are already folded or in other people's hands."
This really doesn't make much sense. The part about being in other peoples hands makes some sense. You can probably assume they would be more likely to stay in with a diamond than without one after the flop. If all three of them did have one diamond, they would each lose two outs.
You can't not count outs because they some of them may already been folded before the flop though. Of course, some of them have probably been folded, but non diamonds had just as good a chance of being folded.
I like how you played it (particularly the turn), but I don't think you can rule out AA, KK, or QQ. If I had any of those hands and you raised the turn, with a flush and a pair on the board, I think I would frequently call you down with AA, KK, or QQ. I think you played it fine.
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