[adanthar]

Bottom line: you are trying fancy plays at times you have no place doing them in, you are playing poker when you shouldn't be and trying to quantify everything as a math problem when you should be playing poker. You're also very results oriented and very quick to demand proof regardless of the number of people who are telling you the same thing. You're not some sort of original rebel thinker going against the orthodoxy; we've all made these mistakes earlier, and they are elementary to fix, but they are, in fact, mistakes.

You've managed to break even after 150 SNG's in a game that a bot that just pushes or folds preflop can beat. Those results are far from meaningless even with a typical small-scale bad beat streak with one particular hand and they should tell you something.