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Old 05-11-2005, 12:59 PM
allenciox allenciox is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 105
Default Re: Evenplay questionable ---- no, brilliant!

Actually, I think an understanding of Gigabet's play on the first hand could take me to the next level, because he is thinking like one of the top professionals, and nobody looking at these hands have a clue why it is so brilliant.

This is what I think --- Gigabet is playing everybody else's cards first, and second figuring what everybody is going to think he has. What he actually has is only his third consideration. A rag flop comes on the board with a bunch of limpers where he has overcards and a flush draw. A minibet comes out. This minibet could be a probing bet or a minibet by a limper with a small pair making his set. (also, a player making the set could be coming after gigabet). His minraise is a probe to find out if anybody hit a set or two pair. With draws on the board, he is going to be raised big on the flop if that is the situation, and he knows pairing one of his overcards won't win the pot for him. When everybody calls, he knows nobody has anything much.

What appears to be a blank comes on the turn. He has to figure that the probability that somebody has something that they are willing to call an all-in with is small, perhaps 10-15%. If they DO call the all-in with a poorly played set or two pair, or a straight, then he still has 9 outs to win the pot on the end. Do the math. The all-in raise is a genius play, set up by his ingenious play on the flop. I would have considered neither play, which is why I have a lot I could learn from gigabet. It is just like when we watch WPT on TV and see what appears to be a stupid play from a top professional. It only looks stupid because we don't understand it.

Is this a reasonable analysis, Gigabet?
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