Re: $50+5 Bubble Call
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It's my opinion that people generally make big mistakes by calling huge raises with the big stack on the bubble. True--you are getting a little better than 2:1 on your T-chips, but as chipleader you are getting much less than that equity-wise...I have a feeling it's more like 3:2.
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From an ICM perspective Hero needs to win just over 42% of the time, so your gut feel seems about right.
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