Re: Proper Flop Decision, but WHY?
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Heads up against the raiser:
AA 13% (6)
AKs 23% (3)
AKo 25% (8)
AQs 24% (3)
AJs 38% (4)
KK 8% (3)
QQ 31% (3)
JJ 43% (8)
TT 43% (8)
Looking at this, only Aces and Kings would put me too far behind.
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I just ran it, except with the other player in the hand as well.
15,928,742 games 62.016 secs 256,848 games/sec
equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)
Hand 1: 28.4077 % [ 00.27 00.01 ] { TT-99, AJs-ATs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AQo }
Hand 2: 50.3806 % [ 00.48 00.02 ] { AA-TT, AKs-AJs, KQs, AKo }
Hand 3: 21.2117 % [ 00.20 00.01 ] { KcQd }
Now consider how it might get played out if
A) A king or queen falls and villain does not have a king or queen
B) A king or queen falls and villain *does* have a king or queen
This is the reverse implied odds situation I was referring to. That's why it's thin against good players (that 5% equity goes away fast when you find yourself dominated and it's hard to make it up when you're not dominated), but it's easy money against poor ones.
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