Re: I don\'t see many hands like this posted.
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1) The pot is small - especially relative to the effective odds.
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It's not especially small for a heads up pot. I don't see how effective odds come into play here. I'm not raising on the end regardless of the card that comes off.
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2) I have no other draws other than my over cards and these have to be discounted heavily - if you want to count them at all.
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Again, I'm calling down b/c I think I have the best hand, not because of any draws. I suppose occasionally he'll have something like TT and you'll river a pair on the river, but his most likely holdings are a boat, a draw, or three-pair.
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3) Without a read on the player, I agree it's possible I was CRed with a PP < 8 or a draw. But what % chance do you give it vs the 9, the 8 or TT, not just taking into account card counts.
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Something like 35% of the time, just completely off-hand. This is definitely the sort of board where I'm thinking about calling down with ace-high right from the get-go. The turn card looks bad for you since it means you're drawing dead to a 9, but it's probably a good card for you since it counterfeits lower PP and makes it less likely that he holds a 9.
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