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Old 03-01-2005, 05:05 PM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: Two 77 hands up front on a short/mediocre stack

at first i said the first hand is a fold, but i did a little quick math and convinced myself it's a push.

as a rough estimate, there are 8 hands to act, each has a ~1/17*1/2 chance to have a higher pair, so the odds are about 1/4.5 or 1/5 that someone has a higher pair. if somebody calls you with AQ, that's bad, but not a disaster. you'll take a 57-43 with dead money out there. the risk is unappealing (esp. in a satelitte), but your only move is going to be all-in until you win one (or steal a lot quickly). also a hand like 88 is not guaranteed to call you.
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