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Old 02-28-2005, 10:11 PM
xorbie xorbie is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,828
Default Betting draws (theory-ish)

So I've been thinking about pod odds recently, and I figure it doesn't really matter about who's calling and who's betting. That said, I figure I'd prefer to be the one betting, as it's more agressive and harder to read my bets. So for example, lets say this is a hand you are in:

Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. 3 limpers, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop ($5BB): K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Let's say you can get an average of two people to call a decent size bet here. Then betting 5BB (pot size) and getting called by two people is enough to give you odds just on the next card hitting your flush or an ace (given that your ace is bound to be good except against A10) (~3:1). In addition, a pot size bet has decent fold equity, and you will also win more when you hit bigger hands (2 pair, set).

Good line? Bad line?
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