Thread: TT
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Old 01-02-2005, 04:03 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: TT

I don't think you can bet this river. If he calls, what are you beating? AQ is unlikely with the pre-flop cap, and he might fold that anyway. 77-99 also seems unlikely. Until the river came, your best shot was that he had AK, and you're dead to that now to. I strongly doubt a bet will fold any better hands... if he was hanging around waiting to catch a K, he's still playing. I doubt QQ, AJ, etc... is going to fold to a bet (you'd need a real tight weak read on your opponent to make that play).

I honestly don't think you can bet here. In fact, I think that check-folding is fine here. You'd need to be ahead about 6% of the time here to make a call worth it, and I actually don't think you get to that number. Calling for peace of mind isn't horrible, but I don't see you winning this ever, really.
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