Re: Icky TT
Tough hand. I'll have to go through it street by street to figure out if I like it.
Pre-flop: This is fine.
Flop: Checking is the correct course of action. I want to see if MP1 bets since he is more likely to have AQ or KQ then MP2. If MP1 checks his hand still isn't defined and if MP2 bets his hand still isn't defined, but checking is the correct play. When MP2 bets and SB calls you don't yet know if your hand is any good but your hand certainly isn't strong enough for protection - and I want to know what MP1 is going to do. ie. Is he going to CR this flop?
I like the check/call approach on the flop. Your equity is tenuous at best at this point, and you don't really know where you are at. On top of this no other action can really help you so check/call is the best move IMO.
Turn: Yah, this is where I don't like it. Initially it didn't seem too bad, but now I don't like it. I don't like it because it's inconsistent with the motivations I outlined above with regards to check/calling the flop.
The 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] is almost a blank and since MP1 didn't CR the flop his hand is something like AJ, KJ, AT, 99, 88, 77, 66. He may have a singleton heart but I don't think he has two. He may have two clubs but there is nothing you can do about that.
SB has done nothing but call so far. Sure he coldcalled 3 pre-flop so could have KQ or QJ, but I think it's more likely that he has a heart draw. He also could have flopped a set and decided to slowplay it.
MP2's hand is still undefined but odds are that it's AK and if it is he can't raise you on the turn (unless it's AK[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]'s or [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]'s), but he can raise you with AA, KK or QQ (the only hands you are really afraid that he holds).
So, betting the turn protects your hand (somewhat) as well as defines your opponents holdings as well. I think you should bet the turn and fold to a raise.
River: /shrug - it looks like a value bet but it could be an 8 or a smaller card, or even 99. I think you are beat but I probably call. You played meakly on the three previous streets so your hand is a complete mystery. I'm not afraid of the two players behind me since they both checked the turn (ie. they have sh*t).
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