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Old 12-10-2004, 04:53 PM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Default Re: An amusing string of hands

[ QUOTE ]
Keep in mind that the probability that I gave was 1 in 4 BILLION. Therefore, this string of cards/outcomes would happen to only 1 in 4,000 pros with 15 years of full-time play under their belt.

[/ QUOTE ]

You make a good point here. First, though, your math is wrong. Is it should be (approximately, and you have to use google calculator since the numbers are so big):

1 - (((4 306 915 090 - 1) / 4 306 915 090)^1 000 000) = 0.000232157765

but that only helps your argument (more like 1 in 5000). HOWEVER, to my original point, he would have been equally surprised had this happened with AQs, TJs, etc. So my argument still applies, I think.

Please note I'm not really taking issue with the semantics of calling things like this a fluke. I think it's fine, and I probably would too. But other posters (part jokingly, granted) were talking about this being evidence of rigged poker. My argument was mainly intended to show that it does not offer any such evidence.

gm
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