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Old 12-10-2004, 03:47 AM
MortalWombatDotCom MortalWombatDotCom is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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Default Re: Theory of Poker Math Question

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Well, if a total blank comes and you are sure your opponent will call you, then you are right, this doesn't make sense.
gm

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total blank or no, any time you are sure your opponent will call you, it doesn't make sense [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

my take is that "optimal bluffing strategy" is really a tool to be used exclusively against players superior to yourself. if you can't figure out how likely they are to call you on a case by case basis, use a theoretical opponent who plays optimally as your model. if you have any decent idea whether a player is more or less likely to fold based on his past behavior in similar situations, or what you showed last time you got called down in a similar situation, or whether your opponent just got AA cracked by 85o, or anything else, "optimal bluffing strategy" is anything but.

and if your opponent usually knows when you are bluffing, "never" is the correct bluffing frequency against that opponent. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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