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Old 12-09-2004, 02:58 PM
meep_42 meep_42 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 856
Default Re: Folding When the Pot is Big?

Hand 1 : This sure roped you in, didn't it?
PF - Fine
Flop - 16:1 closing the action with an overcard and gutshot to the nuts is fine.
Turn - Not the card you wanted. Your outs here are another Q (maybe 1-1.5 outs) and a T (which may split, so we'll call that 2 outs) for 3-3.5 outs. You're getting 10.5:1 on about a 12-1 shot. You can probably expect an extra bet on the river if you make it so this is close. I'd peel one off because there may not be a T out there and .5 outs for an A evens it up.
River: crying call, your 2-pair may be good here 1/13 times.

Hand 2: wtf?
PF - Capping with AQs is excessive.
Flop - Fine.
Turn - I'd call this. Either UTG has a set of jacks or you're way ahead.
River - Bet.

Hand 3:
PF: I complete pf, KQo is just on this side of raising from the SB, I don't make it a habit against large fields.
Flop: 3-bet. You're behind AK K8 K3 KK 33 and 88, AK and KK would have told you they were there earlier. K8 K3 can be ruled in or out by looking at CO's PF looseness. I think you're ahead here until CO caps or raises the turn on you.
Turn: Bet out against a good TAG who would pump a flush draw. If you were capped on the flop I'm probably calling down from here.
River: Fine.

-d
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