Re: the odds of flopping a set
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gm,
To carry this a bit further, does this mean that to determine the probability of making a set by the turn (assuming a pocket pair), one would simply compute
1 - (probability of NOT making the set on the flop AND NOT making the set on the turn)= 1 - ((C(48,3)/C(50,3)) * 45/47) = 1 - (.8825 * .9574) = 1 - .8450 = .1550
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Yes. Note that you also just do:
1 - (48 choose 4)/(50 choose 4) = .155, same answer you got.
gm
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