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Old 11-30-2004, 04:11 AM
topspin topspin is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 737
Default Re: Short Run / Long Run

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I just don't like it when people seem to only want to flex their noodle.

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Statistics is far more significant then you give it credit

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I hardly think gaming_mouse is just "flexing his noodle".

The formulas he is referring to are based on statistics. They give you a way of establishing confidence intervals for your win rate estimate, and hence tell you how many samples you need before you can start trusting your numbers. You can plug in your standard deviation and calculate for yourself how many hands you need, and figure out if for your play you're likely to reach the "long term".

What sort of answer were you expecting?
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