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Old 05-01-2002, 09:43 PM
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Default Re: My WSOP $2K NLHE Bustout Hand



> he thinks because he has queens you could have aces, kings, or ace-king. [..] he basically has a 57% chance to beat you


???


12/24*53.8% + 6/24*18.8% + 6/24*19.1% = 36.3%, so he is almost an 2:1 dog. With that read he should fold: He is only getting 3:2 if the money goes in preflop. And when he calls, he can get away 1/3 of the times, win in on the flop 1/3 of the times, but will lose it all 1/3 of the times. Even if he figues that AK would always bet into him, the best he can hope for (short of a set) is a coin-flip for all his chips.


cu


Ignatius


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