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Old 10-18-2004, 01:13 AM
Daxonovitch Daxonovitch is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 0
Default Re: A S&G Parlay Strategy

I do apologize to those reading my nonstop posts, most of the discussion on this is going on in IRC. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Requested were my stats for SNGs as it does have a bearing on the outcome. The point is not so much WHAT the EV is (since that's going to depend on everyone's stats) but rather the comparison of the parlay strategy versus the grinder strategy.

Here are my stats:

// $10
c1[BUYIN_10] = .1961f; //chance of winning 1 in a $10
c2[BUYIN_10] = .0980f; //chance of winning 2 in a $10
c3[BUYIN_10] = .0980f; //chance of winning 3 in a $10

// $20
c1[BUYIN_20] = .1472f; //chance of winning 1 in a $20
c2[BUYIN_20] = .1015f; //chance of winning 2 in a $20
c3[BUYIN_20] = .1218f; //chance of winning 3 in a $20

// $30
c1[BUYIN_30] = .1631f; //chance of winning 1 in a $30
c2[BUYIN_30] = .1245f; //chance of winning 2 in a $30
c3[BUYIN_30] = .0858f; //chance of winning 3 in a $30

// $50
c1[BUYIN_50] = .1649f; //chance of winning 1 in a $50
c2[BUYIN_50] = .0825f; //chance of winning 2 in a $50
c3[BUYIN_50] = .1753f; //chance of winning 3 in a $50

// $100
c1[BUYIN_100] = .0943f; //chance of winning 1 in a $100
c2[BUYIN_100] = .1698f; //chance of winning 2 in a $100
c3[BUYIN_100] = .1509f; //chance of winning 3 in a $100

// $200
c1[BUYIN_200] = .1f; //chance of winning 1 in a $200
c2[BUYIN_200] = .1f; //chance of winning 2 in a $200
c3[BUYIN_200] = .1f; //chance of winning 3 in a $200

Since I have only played a small number of $200s, I put my stats in as 10% 10% 10% - a breakeven (but losing to the rake) player. Obviously this is a fair leap of logic, but I submit (not so humbly, I suppose) that I am a winning player, even at the $200 level, and my results *should* be higher.
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