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Old 11-22-2001, 06:31 PM
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Default Re: Math Help (No-Limit)



Ray,


There has been plenty of proof that fortune tellers are a hoax. I will not go into the details, but it is totally off base to even refer to that subject in this context.


What I am interested in talking about is patterns that occur. Many people obverve this phenonemom, but no one here can show me some research to prove otherwise. Furthermore, everyone here refers to probability, but probability only deals with the behavior of long term results.


Most gamblers have observed patterns in even money or close to even money events whether it is dice or coin flips.


Gambling rusults fall into three different categories. At the Craps table players will call it choppy, hot, or cold. The extremes of these patterns is what hooks a gambler on this game. For example, when the table is hot players will make alot of money on all kinds of bets that would be bad. Once, they have made a killing they keep coming back to make that big kill again. The problem with this thinking is that these patterns of events don't occur often enough and are unpredicable when they happen. The phase that most gamblers experience is the choppy phase. This is when the hot and cold streaks are short and the house percentage on the game will assert itself. The choppy streaks usually may run hot or cold for four to six decisions from my observations.


I know you are not interested probably in any of this information. But, I am willing to do some reseach to prove that you can gain a slight edge. When I'm finished I will publish it. Case closed.


Goodbye


Mark


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