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Search: Posts Made By: TheRake
Forum: Sports Betting 12-22-2005, 05:15 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

Uggg I can't believe I am still awake, but I can't stop thinking about this now /images/graemlins/confused.gif

[ QUOTE ]
Fair enough. So, is there a way to actually figure out what % is on the...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-22-2005, 02:27 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

I didn't say "always" and I also said it was my impression.

When I cap a game to try and find a fair line more times than not my dog line is closer to what the books have on the game.

When you...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-22-2005, 02:09 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

I honestly believe you can't beat the books if you are always on the favorites. It's not to say there aren't times when the favorite is the way to go. But just because you were on the winning side...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-22-2005, 12:33 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

Well glad I stuck with my gut feeling on that one. Went with LA against everyones opinion. Working on a nice 4-0 night if Edmonton can pull one out. Got a wild one going in Vancouver right now.
Forum: Sports Betting 12-21-2005, 05:38 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

No doubt they are a great defensive team, but I just don't see how they can keep pace with their lack of offense. Especially in this new NHL. Eventually they are going to have to start scoring.
...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-21-2005, 04:15 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 236
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL thought / bet for tonight

The over might not be a bad play on this game. It looks like Nashville will be starting Mason in net. Only problem is you never know what you are going to get with Khabibulin. He will give up 5 goals...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-20-2005, 05:54 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Tuesday 12/20/05

Meh, I decided against my original post. I went with Ottawa -1.5(+142) and TB/Car o6(-115).
Forum: Sports Betting 12-20-2005, 02:59 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Tuesday 12/20/05

[ QUOTE ]
I'm waiting on who is in goal for TB. Leaning toward Tb, as they have beaten Car twice already.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think Grahame is in net for TB tonight.
Forum: Sports Betting 12-20-2005, 02:57 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Tuesday 12/20/05

Yeah, this would just be a one night thing. I couldn't really find any dogs I liked tonight, so this was just to have some fun. I could just take a night off, but that would just be crazy talk ...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-20-2005, 01:28 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
NHL - Tuesday 12/20/05

I am thinking about taking all the home teams -1.5 Goals tonight with the exception of taking Ottawa -1.5 on the road. Cast a wide net and hope for at least 3 wins. The key would be winning either...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-19-2005, 06:45 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 101
Posted By TheRake
Re: 12/19 - NhlNut *ucks

Explain this to me! Wagerline has 65% of the bets going to Dallas, yet the line has now moved to Dallas -109. I don't get it. Is the big money coming in on Minnesota making the line move?
Forum: Sports Betting 12-19-2005, 04:03 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 101
Posted By TheRake
Re: 12/19 - NhlNut *ucks

I like Buffalo, Islanders, and Dallas. Staying away from Calgary and LA.

I know this is a touchy subject around here, but how can Dallas only be a -119 favorite? This smells like a trap game. I...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 04:07 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: A lot of Value in the NHL Today

[ QUOTE ]
Also the NYI +105. Still betting against Col. and their goalie situation.

[/ QUOTE ]

The goalie situation is not good in Colorado, but they score so many goals it keeps them...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 02:01 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: A lot of Value in the NHL Today

Probable starters for tonights games from Hockey Informer (http://www.hockeyinformer.com/web/fantasy/goalies/index.shtml)

Brian Boucher, Phoenix Coyotes - Boucher is the probable starter for...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 12:35 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: A lot of Value in the NHL Today

[ QUOTE ]
Pittsburgh +222 (+234)
Buffalo -254

[/ QUOTE ]

Got these switched by accident. Should be

Pittsburgh +234 (+222)
Buffalo -254
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 12:17 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
Re: A lot of Value in the NHL Today

I should note that there are other factors to take into account before betting any game. Some of the things my numbers don't take into account are starting goalies, how tired or fresh a team might...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-17-2005, 11:56 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 99
Posted By TheRake
A lot of Value in the NHL Today

Welcome all you loyal NHL followers! /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

There are a bunch of games in the NHL today with lines that look totally out of whack. I am on some of them already, but I am not...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-15-2005, 10:58 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 145
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Dallas vs Ottawa Tonight

Stars defense was down right oppressive. They really had the the Sens frustrated. Turco was gigantic! It definitely wasn't pretty, but a win none the less.
Forum: Sports Betting 12-15-2005, 07:35 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 145
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Dallas vs Ottawa Tonight

Nice info CCx...Thanks!
Forum: Sports Betting 12-15-2005, 04:56 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 145
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Dallas vs Ottawa Tonight

I have a couple other accounts, but bet at Pinny almost exclusively.

After I posted this Vancouver went to -109 so I took a pass on it. My numbers had Vancouver at about a -113 favorite, so didn't...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-15-2005, 04:45 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 145
Posted By TheRake
Re: NHL - Dallas vs Ottawa Tonight

I picked up the Stars at +198 for 1/2 unit from pinnacle shortly after I posted this. The line is down to +190 right now. I couldn't bring myself to put a whole unit on it, but I definitely think...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-15-2005, 02:26 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 145
Posted By TheRake
NHL - Dallas vs Ottawa Tonight

Okay no more picks because my 2+2 picks have sucked /images/graemlins/mad.gif
So maybe we'll just have some NHL discussion instead.

Latest line at Pinnacle is Dallas +195 vs Ottawa -215.
...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-13-2005, 04:00 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 89
Posted By TheRake
Some NHL for tonight with write ups

Well I'll be the first to admit some of my 2+2 NHL picks have not gone well.

The fact that I play mostly dogs makes it difficult to make the occasional pick on 2+2 and convince people there was...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-08-2005, 05:05 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 83
Posted By TheRake
Time to hit the NHL overs?

From 11-28 thru 12-2 the NHL went 5 games over, 23 games under, and 2 pushes. The books made a big time adjustment assuming the scoring was on the way down in the NHL. Many of the overs you could get...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-03-2005, 12:44 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 66
Posted By TheRake
Re: Sharks/Leafs 12/3

From Hockey Informer (http://www.hockeyinformer.com/web/fantasy/goalies/index.shtml)

"Nolan Schaefer, San Jose Sharks - Schaefer is the probable starter for Saturday's game against the Maple...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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