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Search: Posts Made By: Roscoe
Forum: Sports Betting 08-08-2005, 01:05 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 98
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Teasing in the NFL

Here is a site that has lines from 1995-current

http://www.mrnfl.com/data/byWeek.aspx
Forum: Probability 07-31-2005, 04:27 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 92
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Football teaser probability question

I took the square root of 11/21.
Forum: Probability 07-30-2005, 10:44 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 92
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Football teaser probability question

To break even, you would need to hit both games 11/21 (52.38% of the time). For each game, you would need to hit approximately 72.375% of the time.
Forum: Probability 07-13-2005, 12:54 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 81
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Suckers game?

all you need to know about this game is right here:
http://wizardofodds.com/allinholdem
Forum: Sports Betting 06-28-2005, 12:54 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 80
Posted By Roscoe
Re: How Does Mansion Make Money on their exchange?

It does appear that the exchange has a small amount of "juice". Example, the Phillies/Mets game has a line of -105 and +102.
Forum: Sports Betting 06-27-2005, 05:05 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 83
Posted By Roscoe
Golf matchup bets for Western Open

Strong Bets
Estes (-120) over Mayfair
Ogilvy (-115) over Hensby

Good Bets
Furyk (-160) over Donald
Appleby (-115) over Verplank
Allenby (-105) over Howell III
Tway (-120) over Roberts...
Forum: Probability 05-16-2005, 12:36 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 93
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Is this game solveable?

Although the expected value of chips won will always be zero, it doesn't mean that every strategy will produce an equal chance of winning.

Take the following "game" as an example (I realize this...
Forum: Probability 04-14-2005, 12:35 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 191
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Intresting proposal

I played this "game" six times, and won twice. The last game I didn't lose a hand (I did, however, have a push...I had a poor hand and fortunately there was a duplicate. Even though there was a...
Forum: Probability 04-10-2005, 11:48 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 72
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Odds of a blackjack

It depends on the number of decks, but the probability is about 1 in 21. With 6 decks, you should get around 950 blackjacks in 20000 deals.
Forum: Probability 04-05-2005, 10:33 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 124
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Expected Value Question

Well, the zero I encountered was using the rnd function in qbasic (which has fewer significant digits). I would assume that excel is capable of returning a value of zero (although as you noted,...
Forum: Probability 04-05-2005, 05:40 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 124
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Expected Value Question

A question:

what happens if the random number generator returns a value of zero? I did a simuation and the I did get a trial where the random number generator did get a value of rand=0

If you...
Forum: Probability 03-28-2005, 03:01 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 87
Posted By Roscoe
Re: Shuffle machines

The higher win rate corresponds with the fact that shuffle machines speed up play, thus increasing the number of hands dealt per hour.
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