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Search: Posts Made By: parachute
Forum: Micro-Limits 07-25-2005, 05:33 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 28
Posted By parachute
Re: Review: Hand 52, T9

[ QUOTE ]
You answered your own question here. A slowplay is bad precisely because there are many possible draws out there, and these drawing hands don't know they're drawing dead.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Books and Publications 02-20-2005, 09:00 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 401
Posted By parachute
Forum: Beginners Questions 02-18-2005, 01:11 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 110
Posted By parachute
Re: Raising with a vulnerable hand to thin the field

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Do you really want that person with 57o to fold?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, you do. Here's my logic. By letting him stay in, you get a .31 share of his 2 small bets - .62 SBs on...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 02-13-2005, 03:41 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 24
Posted By parachute
2/4 flopped royal flush

I know, cap pre-flop, right?

Maybe my play looks incredibly weak here, but I was afraid of forcing people out, and everybody else kept betting... and when I finally did have to bet, everyone...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-11-2005, 08:50 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 136
Posted By parachute
Re: The \"I had xxx invested in the pot so I had to call....\" mindset

[ QUOTE ]
Following the logic, it would seem that if I'm playing any hand in the top half, then I could put most of my stack in preflop, and no matter what I'll likely have pot-odds to call...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-10-2005, 05:14 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 119
Posted By parachute
Re: counting early round bets

It's a little hard for me to figure exactly where you're coming from, but here are two things that you may not be getting:

1) Of course it matters how much money has been previously put in the...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-10-2005, 10:52 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 119
Posted By parachute
Re: counting early round bets

[ QUOTE ]
This may be common knowledge, but it seems to contradict what I usually hear. The consensus would be that once money is in the pot, it is no longer yours and should be ignored.

[/ QUOTE...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-24-2005, 11:40 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 137
Posted By parachute
Re: theoretical question concerning football

For those who are interested in this sort of analysis, there's plenty of it at footballcommentary.com (http://footballcommentary.com).

There's a general pattern in that coaches will generally not...
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 01-21-2005, 06:59 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 125
Posted By parachute
Re: am i totally weak or WHAT?

[ QUOTE ]
This is small stakes. The players are bad and you can't read their hands well enough to KNOW what they hold based upon their betting

[/ QUOTE ]

Isn't that a reason not to fold?
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 01-21-2005, 06:48 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 125
Posted By parachute
Re: am i totally weak or WHAT?

[ QUOTE ]
That gives you way more than a 5% chance that you have the best hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

or 11%, which is actually the relevant number.
Forum: Small Stakes Hold'em 01-21-2005, 06:46 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 125
Posted By parachute
Re: am i totally weak or WHAT?

I think the important data point here, as someone else noted, is that the only hands that both a) have you beat and b) would have bet like that on the flop are 78 and 99 (or maybe 88). That gives...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-19-2005, 07:20 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 107
Posted By parachute
Re: Some more thoughts...

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Say my opponent and I are both smart and after the flop we turn our cards face up (so there is no opportunity to make FTOP mistakes). I have top pair and he has a flush draw. I...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-19-2005, 04:09 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 98
Posted By parachute
Re: Fundamental Theorem and Imperfect Information?

When I think about the FTOP I actually envision the scenario in which both players can see each other's cards and both know how to play perfectly from a mathematical optimizing-your-EV point of view....
Forum: Internet Gambling 01-19-2005, 02:25 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 29
Posted By parachute
Re: poll on profits for year of \'04

Shouldn't there be a choice for having lost money in 2004? Or did everyone here come out ahead?
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-19-2005, 12:33 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 107
Posted By parachute
Re: Some more thoughts...

[ QUOTE ]
Remember, if it doesn't matter at all what your opponent's action is, then he is never making a mistake, and according to the fundamental theorem the only way that you can make money is if...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-18-2005, 04:44 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 159
Posted By parachute
Re: Poker, Gambling and Life

Add me to the list of Baseball Prospectus fans. Nice work with PECOTA.
Forum: Micro-Limits 01-13-2005, 11:36 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 62
Posted By parachute
Re: Anybody up for a 2+2 table tonight?

I was hoping there would be a table tonight...
Forum: Micro-Limits 01-10-2005, 01:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 24
Posted By parachute
Re: Slowplay with Spade Draw?

You probably want to repost this on the no-limit forum.

In general, I don't like slow-playing this because you are giving anyone with a J or a 9 (or AK) a free chance to make their gutshot.
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-07-2005, 05:51 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 63
Posted By parachute
Re: Remember that part in SuperSystem where Doyle said DON\'T PLAY TIRE

Another "I did something stupid but lucked out" story:

The very first hand that I saw the flop in a casino, my opponent showed his cards at the end and I saw that they made a full house, beating...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-07-2005, 02:41 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 49
Posted By parachute
Re: When using starting hand charts from ITH or SSH ect

If your hand was good enough to call one bet, the pot odds are good enough to call one more bet if raised.

Note that this is a different situation from having to call a raise in the big blind. In...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-07-2005, 10:46 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 71
Posted By parachute
Re: Help for a Newbie (ish) please ?

Also, note that because there are so many people in the pot, the pot odds for you to call when people bet are probably huge. Before you fold in one of these family pots, check whether you're getting...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-07-2005, 10:44 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 71
Posted By parachute
Re: Help for a Newbie (ish) please ?

A lot of money at these levels comes from going nuts on the flop and turn when you have a draw that has a better chance of coming in than 1/n, where n is the number of players still in. In these...
Forum: Televised Poker 01-06-2005, 06:16 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 325
Posted By parachute
Re: IQ/Poker/David Sklansky

[ QUOTE ]
In fact this effect can be seen easily if you just look at the bottom of the scale compared to the top of the scale: a 1000 player will probably not have highly consistent wins over an 800...
Forum: Televised Poker 01-06-2005, 06:09 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 325
Posted By parachute
Re: IQ/Poker/David Sklansky

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Statistically, the difference between 2000 and 2200 is exactly the same as the difference between 1800 and 2000. That is, a 2200 player is expected to beat a 2000 player exactly...
Forum: Micro-Limits 01-06-2005, 01:56 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 25
Posted By parachute
Re: counter point

I'm not sure MP1 played this hand so badly. He's getting 7.25-1 on the flop call with an overcard and backdoor flush and straight draws, and on the turn he has the flush draw, might already have the...
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