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-   -   Playing set against a flush draw on the turn, what's a greater EV? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404558)

12-24-2005 09:38 AM

Playing set against a flush draw on the turn, what\'s a greater EV?
 
The question at hand is whether or not i should push all in on the turn, or bet so that even if he hits, the remainder of my stack doesnt make it +ev for him to call. If I push all in, i feel like this player will not call. If I dont push all in, he will not call on the river, so ... what's the better choice?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) converter

MP2 ($343.15)
CO ($42.25)
Button ($151.40)
SB ($17.85)
BB ($89.50)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($128.75)
Hero ($167)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $3.50, SB calls $3, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls $2.50.

Flop: ($15) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10</font>, Button calls $10, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $14.35</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $4.35, Button calls $4.35.

Turn: ($58.05) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $75</font>, Button calls $75.

River: ($208.05) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $60</font>, Button folds.

Final Pot: $268.05

12-24-2005 09:39 AM

Re: Playing set against a flush draw on the turn, what\'s a greater EV?
 
Now I've done a bit of workign out myself, I'll let you guys know once you've weighed in

djoyce003 12-24-2005 10:44 AM

Re: Playing set against a flush draw on the turn, what\'s a greater EV?
 
you should bet whatever you think he'll call.....I think the amount you bet is great..it was better than pot sized, he made a horrible call there.....if you think he'd fold to the push then I don't see anything wrong with the bet size you made.


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