Please help calculate the probabilites in a NLHE situation
 

I had AQo.

He had Ac8c

Flop comes down A-x-x with x-x both being clubs.

I wind up all in.

How heavily favored am I on the flop?

(Results: he catches an 8 and then to add insult to injury the Qc to give me top two and him the nut flush).

Re: Please help calculate the probabilites in a NLHE situation
 

Site as recommended from the post below:

Hands (1 per line)
Ad Qd
As 8s

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ac 3c 2h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Qd 818 82.63 120 12.12 52 5.25 0.853
As 8s 120 12.12 818 82.63 52 5.25 0.147

--- narrow for cut and paste ---

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ac 3c 2h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Qd 818 82.63 120 12.12 52 5.25 0.853
As 8s 120 12.12 818 82.63 52 5.25 0.147
<font color="red"> </font color>

Looks like approximately an 82 - 12 favorite (depending on off cards)

Bubs

Re: Please help calculate the probabilites in a NLHE situation
 

You should probably enter the correct hands and board before running the evaluation.

Here's a more accurate answer:

You - A [img]/forums/images/icons/diamond.gif[/img] Q [img]/forums/images/icons/heart.gif[/img] (AQo)
Him - A [img]/forums/images/icons/club.gif[/img] 8 [img]/forums/images/icons/club.gif[/img] (as stated in the original question)

Board - A [img]/forums/images/icons/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/forums/images/icons/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/forums/images/icons/club.gif[/img] (Obviously the A can't be a club, so the other 2 cards have to be)

Results:

Running: pokenum -h ad qh - ac 8c -- as 7c 2c :
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing As 7c 2c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ad Qh 507 51.21 453 45.76 30 3.03 0.527
Ac 8c 453 45.76 507 51.21 30 3.03 0.473


So you are only a slight favorite

Re: Please help calculate the probabilites in a NLHE situation
 

Also, he's a slightly better favorite if his "Qo" is the Qc (one less out for opponent's flush draw). Still very beatable nonetheless. Of course, the fact that he went all in has nothing to do with the probabilities.

Seems like a pretty standard beat to me.

Re: Please help calculate the probabilites in a NLHE situation
 

sorry all i saw was the Axx on the flop. Didn't notice the club issue.

And Yes I should enter the correct board....thanks for the tip.