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-   -   $50+5 ITM Hand (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=166772)

Vish 12-25-2004 05:05 PM

$50+5 ITM Hand
 
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (3 handed) converter

SB (t2560)
Hero (t5970)
Button (t1470)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t1470 (All-In)</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t2560 (All-In)</font>, Hero...?

Both of these guys have been playing tight, even three way. I put the first pusher on any pair, A7-AK, and KQ (this might be a little too tight, but not by much). The second guy I'd eliminate the worst aces, but is otherwise the same.

Worst case scenario: one of them has an overpair, I'm about 18% to win.

Second worst: They have four overcards between them. We're each about 33% to win.

Second best: Three overcards between them, I'm 46%.

Unlikely scenario: Two overcards between them, I'm 64%.

Of course, if I beat only one of them I'm still in good shape.

I thought it was an easy call at the time, but I wanted to see what you EV experts thought, because I'm too ignorant to calculate it myself.


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