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-   -   straight vs. flush draw (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=32881)

jaydoggie 04-20-2003 07:50 AM

straight vs. flush draw
 
im holding A8c on the button in no limit tournament.

flop
7h 9h 6s

someone bets minimum and it calls around.

turn
7h 9h 6s (10d)

checks around to me, i move all in.

one person calls with Q5h.

i ran these cards through 2dimes.net and its saying the Q5 is a 50% favorite. can someone explain to me how the Q5 is the favored hand in this situation or give me the actual odds of him rivering me like he does every time >:\



jaydoggie 04-20-2003 07:59 AM

Re: straight vs. flush draw
 

i figured out why i was getting funky results with twodimes.net, i was putting 10 instead of T. guess my odds were about 3/4 inevidably i got rivered by the same guy i always get rivered by.

we play weekly tournaments. a few weeks ago i caught AA, 3 handed. the flop comes 99T. hes got 87os, he bets double the minimum, i raise all in. he takes a moment to think (knowing i get rivered by him every week i show him my aces knowing he cant possibly have a 9 becuase he never makes a hand til the river) despite seeing my aces and knowing hes got 8 outs and i have another 4 cards (99AA) that could fill me up, he decides to throw in the rest of his chips, and of course a brick on the turn. guess what miracle comes on the river...


Cyrus 04-20-2003 09:11 AM

Sim results
 
PokerWiz sims; 10mln rounds each time; percentages don't add up to exactly 100% due to ties.

FIRST SIM

PLAYER 1 : Ac8c
PLAYER 2 : Qh5h
BOARD : 7h 9h 6s Td

PLAYER 1 : Wins 74.99%
PLAYER 2 : Wins 20.46%
PLAYER 2 is 3.40 odds against to Win at the River.

SECOND SIM

PLAYER 1 : AcAs
PLAYER 2 : 8h7d
BOARD : 9h 9d Tc 2s

PLAYER 1 : Wins 81.82%
PLAYER 2 : Wins 18.18%
PLAYER 2 is 4.50 odds against to Win at the River.

Hope you're feeling better.


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