Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)

- Probability (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=23)

- - wtf (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=179508)

wtf are odds of dominating four hands in a row at vs a2 jj vs j9 ak vs kq and qq vs qa and losing all 4 in a row.

it's possible. that's all you really need to know, so accept that it happened and move on. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Using Poker Stove....

odds of losing...
AT vs A2 .29607
JJ vs J9 .12319
AK vs KQ .26089
QQ vs AQ .31295

Total ~.002978 or 1 in 335

[ QUOTE ]
Using Poker Stove....

odds of losing...
AT vs A2 .29607
JJ vs J9 .12319
AK vs KQ .26089
QQ vs AQ .31295

Total ~.002978 or 1 in 335

[/ QUOTE ]

Note also that if you were not in a HU game there were other hands that could have beat you besides the one you had dominated. That you ended up showing down and losing to a dominated hand is just a kind of unfortunate irony.

So if you were in a full ring game, I'd adjust the odds above quite a bit, maybe by almost 50%. Eg, adding in just 5 more RANDOM hands (for a total of 7 players) cuts your AT equity down to 17%. Playable hands would bring it down even more...

If it was HU, the above calculation is right on.

gm