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-   -   Odds question (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=304651)

BarryP 07-31-2005 05:45 PM

Odds question
 
I'd like to know what the odds are of 2 players having a flush by 5th st. I know it must be very low, but I'd like to be more precise.
Thanks in advance.

jba 08-01-2005 05:15 PM

Re: Odds question
 
are these five cards each, like in stud or draw

or 2 cards each plus three community cards

or 2 cards each, with three monotone community cards


these are all different questions, so rephrase yours please.

spaminator101 08-01-2005 05:55 PM

Re: Odds question
 
it might help to know the game

BarryP 08-01-2005 11:01 PM

Re: Odds question
 
Sorry guy's that was stupid of me. The game is NLHE, full table, 3-4 players in to 5th st. and we're using both our hole cards.

Thanks.
BTW, would the odds be any different if there were 2 callers or even 1 caller?

spaminator101 08-01-2005 11:09 PM

Re: Odds question
 
ugh i used to be able to do this but it seems ive forgot how

emp1346 08-02-2005 07:40 AM

Re: Odds question
 
i'm tired and don't feel like reworking the calculation, BUT...

from what i just ran real quick, assuming 4 players and no four-card flushes, the probability that at least two players having a flush by the river is approximately .2%

if anyone wants to double-check that feel free...

spaminator101 08-02-2005 01:02 PM

Re: Odds question
 
18 to one against them having the same suited cards
37/45 / 5= 84/100
37/44 / 4= 79/100
37/43 / 3= 72/100
47792/18000000
.0024
or about 500to1 against

BarryP 08-04-2005 11:42 AM

Re: Odds question
 
Thanks Spam.

spaminator101 08-04-2005 03:04 PM

Re: Odds question
 
no problem


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