$10+1: Appropriate turn aggression, or -EV?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) converter
UTG (t730) UTG+1 (t1210) MP1 (t790) MP2 (t215) CO (t505) Button (t2900) SB (t875) Hero (t775) Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG calls t30, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, CO calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks. Flop: (t120) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks. Turn: (t120) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets t100</font>, HERO RAISES ALL-IN, UTG folds, CO folds, SB folds. I figure that in these games it's likely I'll be called by TJ|QJ|KJ|AJ and slowplayed big pairs QQ|KK|AA. JJ|99|33|22|J9 are the hands I fear, but I decided that there are quite a few more losing hand combinations out there that will call me; hell, a hand like A9|K9 might even call me, "smelling a bluff." I'm hesitant to bet less since I don't want to make a tough decision on the river, and the pot seems nice enough for this weak two pair. Any suggestions, criticisms, comments, advice? A better line? |
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