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-   -   One more formula question... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=334828)

09-12-2005 01:45 AM

One more formula question...
 
Ok, here is the scenario I encountered while playing 5-150 spread limit. 5 people see a flop for $100 each. The flop comes 972 with 2 hearts. I have AK with the A of hearts. One player bets $150 all in. Assuming I know he has TT or JJ, and assuming I know the other 3 players will fold, do I have the correct odds to call? According to my calculations I have a 24.2% chance to hit an A or K with 2 cards to come. And I am only investing 23.1% with my $150 call. However, I'm not sure how to factor in my chances of hitting runner, runner nut flush, or factor out his chances of making a set. Anyone know a formula on this?
Thanks.

LetYouDown 09-12-2005 08:43 AM

Re: One more formula question...
 
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1214333
pokenum -h js jc - ah ks -- 9h 7h 2c
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 2c 9h 7h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Js Jc 717 72.42 273 27.58 0 0.00 0.724
Ks Ah 273 27.58 717 72.42 0 0.00 0.276

09-12-2005 06:19 PM

Re: One more formula question...
 
Great, thanks.

So it looks like calling would be correct then. Since I have a 27.5% chance to win, and am only investing 23.1% of the pot.

Thanks!


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