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View Full Version : 20 dollar NLHE tourney hand


youngladyfriend
06-17-2004, 11:46 AM
10 places pay out, there are 20 left, blinds are 100-200.
I post big blind and under the gun, an aggressive player, raises it to 600. All fold around to me, I have 400 left.
I have A /images/graemlins/club.gif9 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Is this a clear fold, or do I take my chances having only 400 left and the blinds ready to go up soon to 150-300?
If he has ane ace, obviously Im in trouble, but I have 1/3 of my money already invested...is it worth the call?

Che
06-17-2004, 11:59 AM
youngladyfriend-

If he has:

AA: you're smoked
KK-99: you're basically 0 EV
AK-AT: you're slightly -EV
88-22: slight dog but definitely +EV
A8 or less: you're way ahead getting great odds

The +EV situations are obviously the least likely (by far) given an UTG raise at a 10-handed table (even from an aggressive player), but I still call since folding and then posting the SB with a random hand is probably much more -EV than calling.

Later,
Che

Truck Wiseman
06-17-2004, 12:02 PM
I can't fold here. It's do or die.

soxfan70
06-17-2004, 12:06 PM
it would be useful to know UTG stacks size, but I think with your stack size, you've got to push here and hope to double up. I think it's probably likely you're behind, but with the small amount of chips you have, there's not much fight left in you.

Scottnyce
06-17-2004, 12:09 PM
Push......you have to pay 100 for the next SB leaving you with only a call of the BB when the Blinds move....


CALL 100%

gcDanno
06-17-2004, 12:11 PM
I agree 100% with Che here. And let me add to that, the fact that you are going to be 1 on 1 here, where as with the SB random hand, you might be up against 2 or more players, thereby lowering your chance of surviving even more.

All in baby!

gc

DOTTT
06-17-2004, 12:11 PM
With 20 left I call this every time, and I'd probably call it with anything as bad as A2, KQ, KJ, and KT, (maybe even K3o /images/graemlins/wink.gif). Truth is I probably wouldn’t even look at my hand and just call blind. Your stack isn't going to scare anyone if you fold here, call and hope he has a medium pocket pair.

whiskeytown
06-17-2004, 01:47 PM
hey - I remember you...you ran me down at Canterbury...no advice for you. - advice kitchen is closed....

seriously...I'd be all in in a second - you're 1/3 pot committed - and almost no one else is gonna get stupid and get busted when you don't have the blinds covered for next round... -

all in and pray....you get an extra 7% odds for being suited - this is a clear all in for me...once you're 1/3 committed, you're best off going all in -

RB