09-28-2001, 10:48 AM
Hi Mason,
Thanks for your clear and to the point response. Anyway, I am a little curious as to how the figure could be so low in light of the post below that David made on RGP:
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Dsklansky wrote in message news:20010828201042.23988.00002453@mb-mg.aol.com...
Regarding the 15-30 Hold-em game:
Assuming you can beat the game fairly easily, it is extremely unlikely that you would ever go broke with a starting bankroll of $20,000 that you did not deplete for expenses. Anything under $10,000 is in a lot of jeopardy (because its chances are about the square root of $20,000's chances-eg 1% vs 10%.)
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I took that post to mean David thought that a $20,000 non-depleted playing BR for the 15-30 hold-em game would give someone who "beat the game easily" a chance of ruin of about one percent. That would lead me to believe a bankroll in the area of about $60,000 would give someone who "beat the 40-80 game easily" a chance of ruin of about one percent in the 40-80 game. I am not trying to be difficult, but I was wondering what size BR would have about a one percent chance of ruin for a player able to beat the 40-80 game for one big bet per hour and what chance of ruin that same player would have if he (or she) used a $20,000 non-depleted BR to play the 40-80 game.
By the way, I have read all of David and Ray's books and most of your books.
Thanks,
Mark
In response to:
Posted By: Mason Malmuth
Date: Tuesday, 25 September 2001, at 2:20 a.m. :
$14,000 should do the trick with only a tiny chance of ruin. By the way, are you sure you can really beat a $40-$80 game for one big beat an hour?
Thanks for your clear and to the point response. Anyway, I am a little curious as to how the figure could be so low in light of the post below that David made on RGP:
*****************
Dsklansky wrote in message news:20010828201042.23988.00002453@mb-mg.aol.com...
Regarding the 15-30 Hold-em game:
Assuming you can beat the game fairly easily, it is extremely unlikely that you would ever go broke with a starting bankroll of $20,000 that you did not deplete for expenses. Anything under $10,000 is in a lot of jeopardy (because its chances are about the square root of $20,000's chances-eg 1% vs 10%.)
*********************
I took that post to mean David thought that a $20,000 non-depleted playing BR for the 15-30 hold-em game would give someone who "beat the game easily" a chance of ruin of about one percent. That would lead me to believe a bankroll in the area of about $60,000 would give someone who "beat the 40-80 game easily" a chance of ruin of about one percent in the 40-80 game. I am not trying to be difficult, but I was wondering what size BR would have about a one percent chance of ruin for a player able to beat the 40-80 game for one big bet per hour and what chance of ruin that same player would have if he (or she) used a $20,000 non-depleted BR to play the 40-80 game.
By the way, I have read all of David and Ray's books and most of your books.
Thanks,
Mark
In response to:
Posted By: Mason Malmuth
Date: Tuesday, 25 September 2001, at 2:20 a.m. :
$14,000 should do the trick with only a tiny chance of ruin. By the way, are you sure you can really beat a $40-$80 game for one big beat an hour?