Che
03-31-2004, 05:01 PM
Hand 157: 400/800/a50. 2.5 hours into the Stars 10+1 Rebuy. Around 230 of 975 left. 81 paid. Avg. stack around 22000.
Two folds then I raise 1600 to 2400 with J /images/graemlins/club.gif J /images/graemlins/spade.gif
Next three fold, button (~11000) calls.
BULLY (small blind): raises 34035 to 36435 and is all-in
New Guy (big blind): calls 13460 and is all-in
It’s back to me – 16469 to call. 2.33:1 odds on the total pot.
Reads: Button, Bully, and I have been at this table since the start. I expect button to fold, but he might gamble on the huge pot odds. Basically, he’s a nonfactor other than making a mental note that he might be folding one (or two) of my opponents’ outs.
Bully could have anything in Eastbay’s Hand Set C (reference to post in one-table forum: ‘ranking hands against "push hands" preflop’), making me a near 2:1 favorite against his range of possible hands if my read is correct.
New Guy was moved to the table during the previous hand and I have no prior read. If I assume he is solid, I’m behind his range of hands – probably AA-TT, AK. (Please correct me if this range is incorrect.) However, this is a stars 10+1 rebuy so assuming solid play can be very costly.
I’m getting 2.33:1 from the total pot on my 16469 call. I figure I’m a big favorite for the ~9200 side pot. I might have folded if the new guy had had me covered, but he didn’t so I decided to gamble for the huge pot since I had the side pot to fall back on if I at least beat the bully.
Che: calls 16469 and is all-in
Button: folds as expected
Given my reads, what do you think of my call?
If you think I should have folded, what pot odds would you need to make the call in this situation (i.e. folding leaves you with 75% of the avg. stack still far from the money)? 3.5:1? 4.5:1? More?
Alternatively, how desperately short-stacked would you need to be to take the 2.33:1 odds? Call if folding leaves you with half the average stack? 25%?
Results in separate post…
Two folds then I raise 1600 to 2400 with J /images/graemlins/club.gif J /images/graemlins/spade.gif
Next three fold, button (~11000) calls.
BULLY (small blind): raises 34035 to 36435 and is all-in
New Guy (big blind): calls 13460 and is all-in
It’s back to me – 16469 to call. 2.33:1 odds on the total pot.
Reads: Button, Bully, and I have been at this table since the start. I expect button to fold, but he might gamble on the huge pot odds. Basically, he’s a nonfactor other than making a mental note that he might be folding one (or two) of my opponents’ outs.
Bully could have anything in Eastbay’s Hand Set C (reference to post in one-table forum: ‘ranking hands against "push hands" preflop’), making me a near 2:1 favorite against his range of possible hands if my read is correct.
New Guy was moved to the table during the previous hand and I have no prior read. If I assume he is solid, I’m behind his range of hands – probably AA-TT, AK. (Please correct me if this range is incorrect.) However, this is a stars 10+1 rebuy so assuming solid play can be very costly.
I’m getting 2.33:1 from the total pot on my 16469 call. I figure I’m a big favorite for the ~9200 side pot. I might have folded if the new guy had had me covered, but he didn’t so I decided to gamble for the huge pot since I had the side pot to fall back on if I at least beat the bully.
Che: calls 16469 and is all-in
Button: folds as expected
Given my reads, what do you think of my call?
If you think I should have folded, what pot odds would you need to make the call in this situation (i.e. folding leaves you with 75% of the avg. stack still far from the money)? 3.5:1? 4.5:1? More?
Alternatively, how desperately short-stacked would you need to be to take the 2.33:1 odds? Call if folding leaves you with half the average stack? 25%?
Results in separate post…