Borgata 6-12: Nut boat with trips on board, river decision

[bdk3clash]

I just got back from a Sunday trip to Atlantic City. I'll be posting a few hands I found interesting and would appreciate any input you guys might have.

bdk3clash has 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif9/images/graemlins/club.gif in LP. UTG limps, MP limps, I limp, button limps, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop is:

9/images/graemlins/heart.gif 5/images/graemlins/club.gif 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif

UTG checks, MP checks, bdk3clash bets, button calls, SB folds, BB folds, UTG check-raises, MP folds, bdk3clash 3-bets, button folds, UTG calls.

Turn is 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif

UTG checks, bdk3clash bets, UTG calls.

River is 3/images/graemlins/club.gif

UTG bets, bdk3clash raises, UTG 3-bets, bdk3clash...

Rest of the action, results, and my thoughts later. Yours first. /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

[Bob T.]

If your opponent, is the kind that you think he has a tie for the nuts, with his 98 suited, and he didn't like his kicker before, I would probably make one more raise. If he is a rational poker player, I probably stop at three bets. Somewhere in between, I probably raise one more time.

[bdk3clash]

[ QUOTE ]
If your opponent, is the kind that you think he has a tie for the nuts, with his 98 suited, and he didn't like his kicker before, I would probably make one more raise. If he is a rational poker player, I probably stop at three bets. Somewhere in between, I probably raise one more time.

[/ QUOTE ]

Huh? Maybe you mean if I think he thinks he's now tying my 9 and we're probably chopping.

I guess I didn't have a strong enough read on him to figure out what/if he was thinking.

Any other thoughts?

[bunky9590]

Your not chopping, you have 9's full and he has three full of nines.

I stop at about 7 raises.

[mosch]

I'm with Bunky on this one, assuming that my opponent wasn't in a blind. If they were in a blind, then I wuss out at about five raises.

It seems more likely that they have a pocket overpair than the case three.

[Mike Gallo]

UTG bets, bdk3clash raises, UTG 3-bets, bdk3clash... .. should keep raising. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

I doubt you do not have the winning hand. This player most likely limped with an overpair.

[ike]

This hand's not about what he's thinking now, its about whether he could have played a 3 under the gun. Against many opponents you have the nuts because a 3 is nearly impossible, against others limping A3s, A3o, 35s, and who knows what else is possible. If he's a tight aggressive player keep raising and expect something like A9 or TT or a smaller set, if he could have limped the 3 just call.

[sfer]

Don't stop raising. What are you worried about, a 3? The flop checkraise doesn't make sense unless he has 2 threes, and clearly that's impossible.

[Jezebel]

I would go 7 or 8 bets on this one for a couple of reasons. His plays screams that he has a 9. How many UTG are going to have a 3 in their hand? A few A3s maybe. How many UTGs are going to checkraise the flop with bottom pair and then check/call the turn when they hit their money card? Very unlikely in my opinion.

[NaobisDad]

Why is it so impossible that UTG was slowplaying a big pair? He might 've thought he made the boat, and put Hero on what? two pair, something he could beat?
Comments?

[Jeffage]

Why not just call the flop checkraise, get some dead bets in from your opponents and then raise the turn? Seems kinda automatic to me when you have so much of the board (rainbow, pretty draw free) and you can trap people for more money.

Jeff

[bdk3clash]

I'm kind of embarassed about this one, so go easy on me.

I called, my opponent showed 55 for the lower (and strangely played) flopped set/turned boat, and MHIG.

In retrospect my play strikes me as incredibly weak tight, but at the time, all I could think of was how passive he was on the turn and how he came alive on the third 3. I hadn't pegged him as anything but an any-two casino type, and at the time 53 or 93 made a lot of sense, although in retrospect they don't.

Terrible play by me. Online I'm capping here no problem; at Borgata, where there's no heads-up raising limit, I feared a (inevitable) 5-bet if he had quads, and I wasn't 66% sure he didn't have them.

I knew I'd be upset about this hand when I called the 3-bet, because I'd either missed a bet (or more) or just lost to a 1-outer.

Oh well, live and learn. /images/graemlins/tongue.gif