Nate tha' Great
02-10-2004, 11:55 AM
Win % when seeing flop
Nate 43.33
sxb 36.9
Azhrarn 34.77
davidross 34.34
Requiem 33.92
packer 32.33
Showdown win %
Requiem 57.97
Azhrarn 57.59
packer 56.97
davidross 56.04
sxb 51.63
Nate 51.14
It should be self-evident that these two things are inversely correlated. Just because I'm a dork, I calculated the correlation coefficient, and it's -.83
Not that you need a bunch of fancy statistics to recognize this. Obviously, if you stick around to see more showdowns, you're going to win more hands.
Does that mean that, by winning more hands, you're going to win more money? Not necessarily; it can get expensive to see a lot of hands to the end, or to play them aggressively on the flop and turn in such a way that you win the hand without a showdown.
But when I see a bunch of showdown percentages in the 57% range, I think you guys might be foregoing a few too many +EV risks on later streets.
Nate 43.33
sxb 36.9
Azhrarn 34.77
davidross 34.34
Requiem 33.92
packer 32.33
Showdown win %
Requiem 57.97
Azhrarn 57.59
packer 56.97
davidross 56.04
sxb 51.63
Nate 51.14
It should be self-evident that these two things are inversely correlated. Just because I'm a dork, I calculated the correlation coefficient, and it's -.83
Not that you need a bunch of fancy statistics to recognize this. Obviously, if you stick around to see more showdowns, you're going to win more hands.
Does that mean that, by winning more hands, you're going to win more money? Not necessarily; it can get expensive to see a lot of hands to the end, or to play them aggressively on the flop and turn in such a way that you win the hand without a showdown.
But when I see a bunch of showdown percentages in the 57% range, I think you guys might be foregoing a few too many +EV risks on later streets.