DrPhysic
12-21-2003, 12:35 AM
Hand is Ah xh,
flop is xh xh (any other card not a heart)
Probability of drawing the flush:
Everybody knows its 1/4 + 1/4 = 50% right?
My calculation seems to be about as dumb and I don't understand why.
I think the proper formula is
(1-((47-9)/47)*((46-9)/46)) = 1-(36*35/47*46) = 1-.583 = .417
But all the charts I see say it's ~.36
Would one of you math buffs show me the error of my ways, please?
D /images/graemlins/crazy.gif
flop is xh xh (any other card not a heart)
Probability of drawing the flush:
Everybody knows its 1/4 + 1/4 = 50% right?
My calculation seems to be about as dumb and I don't understand why.
I think the proper formula is
(1-((47-9)/47)*((46-9)/46)) = 1-(36*35/47*46) = 1-.583 = .417
But all the charts I see say it's ~.36
Would one of you math buffs show me the error of my ways, please?
D /images/graemlins/crazy.gif