**Shorthanded Long Run**

[soda]

What is generally considered a reasonable amount of hands that one might confidently say "Ok, I've played _____ hands and I'm winning 2 Big Bets per table, per hour at $.50/$1 on Party Poker" and it would be considered sustainable at this level of play long term.

Surely it's less than a billion, but more than 5,000. I'm currently over 30,000 in my database - which would equate to about 6 months casino time, in a full ring game. Is this enough? Is shorthanded any different than full ring games? I don't know - can anyone tell me?

Thanks,

soda

[Nottom]

Check out this post by BruceZ.

It's a brief explanation of how do determine your winrate confidence level.

a web page (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/favlinker.php?Cat=&Entry=3328&F_Board=probability& Thread=369173&partnumber=&postmarker=)

[soda]

WOW - thanks.

My standard error is 1.11 BB. Which basically means that my results are worth diddlysquat. But, at least I can be 68% sure that they are worth diddlysquat.

/images/graemlins/grin.gif

soda

[Nottom]

When people tell you it takes a long time to narrow down your winrate, they really mean it. /images/graemlins/tongue.gif

[soda]

Sooooo, three weeks isn't enough time?

/images/graemlins/grin.gif

[Nottom]

I wouldn't say they mean diddly. If you are making 2.5BB/hout you can be 95% confident you are indeed a winning player, which is more than most people can claim.