Angel
10-31-2003, 06:20 PM
Hello,
Although this has no practical purposes except to satisfy an academic curiosity, I am wondering if there is any rough formula one could employ to determine the likelihood of an extended streak of winning sessions.
I certainly see the difficulties in the question. For instance, it is more likely to have a long streak in no limit rather than limit due to the skill vs luck factor. It is also impossible to rate your oppositions skill in a concrete way - for instance, it might be possible if we played stud eight or better in a private game of the most passive folks in the country for you to never lose - but let's say, realistically in an area with multiple large public cardrooms such as LA or LV playing middle-limit games - could one come up with a predictable maximum length of streak or maximum percentage wins? I am not speaking of the player who will play 5 minutes per day 6 days because he won the first hand and cash out and then get stuck and play 5 days to get a win - I am strictly speaking of someone who practices good game selection and leaves when appropriate (the game is no longer good, tired, or emotionally upset etc).
Thanks in advance for any thoughts on the matter.
Although this has no practical purposes except to satisfy an academic curiosity, I am wondering if there is any rough formula one could employ to determine the likelihood of an extended streak of winning sessions.
I certainly see the difficulties in the question. For instance, it is more likely to have a long streak in no limit rather than limit due to the skill vs luck factor. It is also impossible to rate your oppositions skill in a concrete way - for instance, it might be possible if we played stud eight or better in a private game of the most passive folks in the country for you to never lose - but let's say, realistically in an area with multiple large public cardrooms such as LA or LV playing middle-limit games - could one come up with a predictable maximum length of streak or maximum percentage wins? I am not speaking of the player who will play 5 minutes per day 6 days because he won the first hand and cash out and then get stuck and play 5 days to get a win - I am strictly speaking of someone who practices good game selection and leaves when appropriate (the game is no longer good, tired, or emotionally upset etc).
Thanks in advance for any thoughts on the matter.