TJD
10-12-2003, 10:25 AM
Just thinking aloud here. I would appreciate comments. I am not sure I get this.
Clearly we like loose players at the table since they are making a mistake by entering the pot with so many poor hands. They also often compound this error by continuing in the pot when they have insufficient odds to do so. Equally, it is obvious that our variance will be higher at a loose table and even higher still at a very loose table.
However, are we sure that playing at a very loose table is bound to be more profitable? Instinctively, the answer must be yes BUT with more players in preflop, some of their loose calls are not so loose since they are getting better immediate and implied odds. Also, on the flop and beyond with so much extra money in the pot their calls may be either correct or "less of a mistake".
Obviously if, with our better preflop hands, we flop a monster or get a great draw that comes home, then we stand to win a lot of chips. However, with our "solid" preflop hands, in a typical game, most of our profit comes from the much more frequent and less spectacular, top pair best kicker.
In the very loose games though, the "implicit collusion" of all those callers can make us a very solid underdog with all their combined outs. In fact this can be so much so that it is possible that even a bet with TPTK is not for value, despite the number of callers.
I do not have enough statistical data for this but I feel that I have a better win rate if 4-5 see the flop on average than 6-7. I may be wrong, but I do not believe this is because I am failing to adjust my game to the nature of the table.
Any views? They would be appreciated if only to sort me out! /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Trevor
Clearly we like loose players at the table since they are making a mistake by entering the pot with so many poor hands. They also often compound this error by continuing in the pot when they have insufficient odds to do so. Equally, it is obvious that our variance will be higher at a loose table and even higher still at a very loose table.
However, are we sure that playing at a very loose table is bound to be more profitable? Instinctively, the answer must be yes BUT with more players in preflop, some of their loose calls are not so loose since they are getting better immediate and implied odds. Also, on the flop and beyond with so much extra money in the pot their calls may be either correct or "less of a mistake".
Obviously if, with our better preflop hands, we flop a monster or get a great draw that comes home, then we stand to win a lot of chips. However, with our "solid" preflop hands, in a typical game, most of our profit comes from the much more frequent and less spectacular, top pair best kicker.
In the very loose games though, the "implicit collusion" of all those callers can make us a very solid underdog with all their combined outs. In fact this can be so much so that it is possible that even a bet with TPTK is not for value, despite the number of callers.
I do not have enough statistical data for this but I feel that I have a better win rate if 4-5 see the flop on average than 6-7. I may be wrong, but I do not believe this is because I am failing to adjust my game to the nature of the table.
Any views? They would be appreciated if only to sort me out! /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Trevor