What are the odds?

[TheDuck]

<font color="blue">Today, just moments ago, I was playing in a tourny. One player got JJ three times in a row. The 3rd time I stayed in with 10 10 against her, because I told myself what are the odds shes going to have pocket JJ again. To be on the safe side, I only called and didn't raise, because she was betting the same as she did the first two times (timing wise).

I probably should have just folded my 10 10 after the flop, but I just couldn't convince myself that she had it again, even after seeing the cards I still couldn't believe it!

Anyway, just thought I'd rant some! </font>

[GuyOnTilt]

To answer your question in your post title, the odds that your opponent held JJ against your TT was exactly 244:1.

[Copernicus]

244:1? I dont think so. I believe its 203.17:1.

[Zez]

The odds of her getting JJ three times in a row are
10,793,860:1

But, as Copericus said, in any hand the odds are just
203:1

[GuyOnTilt]

Please explain.

[GuyOnTilt]

Nevermind. Simple arithmatic error on my part.

[TheDuck]

Actually, I may have voiced my question wrong or poorly. The question is more what are the odds that they would get dealt JJ 3x in a row. =)

[TheDuck]

Ah now thats the answer I was looking for.

[squiffy]

Yes, Copernicus, but if your opponent is on a RUSH, the odds are more like only 2:1.

Silly Rabbit!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[GoSox]

Interesting post, I've been playing PP for about 3 months now. During the last two weeks I have had a above probable occurrence of having either the same hand twice in a row, or having the same hand on two different tables at once (referring to card value, not suits). I'm sure it is coincidence but has anyone else noticed it more often lately ?

[CrackerZack]

The 203:1 is only true if you take a 50 card deck with 4 Js, in this case since you have TT, the deck only has 50 cards. usually its 220:1

[CrackerZack]

Go Yankees.

Online sites are cheating us all.