bluffist
09-25-2003, 04:43 AM
Without going into the storage shed and trying to find my old college stats book, I need a little help. In holdem, can someone give me the odds that any three like-suited cards will land within the five cards on the board?
Assume ten players already dealt two cards each. Assume 5 of the suit are already in those 20 hole cards. This leaves 8 more within the remainig deck of 32. The flop, turn and river containing exactly three of a like suit.
I don't really care what's in any of the ten hands, just the odds for a three flush on the board.
There are ten different ways these three cards could fall, and the odds of each vary, it seems. The probability for a spade coming in on the first flop card is 25%, but the odds for the second spade coming third card is aboout 23.33%
It all gets a little confusing how to come up with a single probibility for a 3-flush hitting the board in any card position.
Can anyone show how to do this?
Thanks in advance. /images/graemlins/cool.gif
Assume ten players already dealt two cards each. Assume 5 of the suit are already in those 20 hole cards. This leaves 8 more within the remainig deck of 32. The flop, turn and river containing exactly three of a like suit.
I don't really care what's in any of the ten hands, just the odds for a three flush on the board.
There are ten different ways these three cards could fall, and the odds of each vary, it seems. The probability for a spade coming in on the first flop card is 25%, but the odds for the second spade coming third card is aboout 23.33%
It all gets a little confusing how to come up with a single probibility for a 3-flush hitting the board in any card position.
Can anyone show how to do this?
Thanks in advance. /images/graemlins/cool.gif