Is this a record?

[LondonBroil]

I recently introduced my friend to party poker. I transferred $50 to him (which I got back when he played 50 hands) and he earned his $25 portion. Anyway, a couple of my friends and I went over his house tonight to drink a few beers and play a game of R.I.S.K. (we're such losers).

I walked in and he was on Party playing the .5/1.00 tables. I asked him how it was coming along and he said he was up almost $45 in the last 3 hours and his BR was up to around $135. I went to check his stats...

Hands Played: 142
Hands Won: 22%
Showdowns Won: 45%

Flops Seen: 97%
Win % if Flops Seen: 22%

Will he be broke by morning?

[rusty JEDI]

97% flops....The first thing that comes to mind is what kind of hands are the 3% he folds.

[richie]

LMAO. He probably folds 72o when the pre-flop betting is capped /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[William]

[ QUOTE ]
will he be broke by morning?

[/ QUOTE ]

YES! /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[HavanaBanana]

A friend of mine had 89% last 100 hands 2-4 or 3-6 and he was also up.

The 3% your friend didnt see flop was probably hands where everyone folded to his preflop bet so no flop was shown /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

And yes he will be broke by morning

[Rushmore]

It doesn't matter how long this run lasts.

If he plays like this, he will go broke. No doubt.

[tiltboy]

He should move up IMMEDIATELY.

[chesspain]

LOL!

[brainpower]

What is his name on party and when does he play? /images/graemlins/wink.gif

[sweetjazz]

[ QUOTE ]
97% flops....The first thing that comes to mind is what kind of hands are the 3% he folds.

[/ QUOTE ]

He must misclick 3% of the time.

[Wake up CALL]

The sample size is too small to determine with near certainty as to whether he is seeing too many flops. /images/graemlins/smile.gif I do agree if he continues this much longer he will be at the play money tables quite soon.

[crockpot]

anyone want to figure out what the odds are of someone getting 97% playable hands if you assume he's playing the top 20%?

(yes, i'm one crappy statistics major for refusing to do this myself)

[jek187]

It's essentially impossible. The forumula would be:

.20^142*5!

However, my calculator (which will show # to a notation of 10^-99) just shows 0 when I type in .2^142. I'm too lazy to dig out my grapher and see if that could handle this.

It's been a long since I did probability stuff though, so my solution may be off.

[ramjam]

I may be a nerd but my maths isn't up to much.

Assuming 97% of 142 is rounded to 138 and we're talking exactly 97% playable, then I would guess:

(0.2^138)(0.8^4) x 142.141.140.139/(4.3.2.1)

I think that's like too small to imagine.

[Uppercut]

Pardon my ignorance, but I just started playing on Party. How do you get those hand statistics you mentioned in your post? I used to play Paradise and I really valued that information, especially the percentage of flops seen. Thanks in advance for your response.

[Inthacup]

When you're sitting at a table, right click on your player and you'll see the option to show statistics.