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View Full Version : is this standard? do you like this flop push?


Maulik
12-11-2005, 06:28 PM
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx (http://www.zerodivide.cx/converter)

Hero (t640)
UTG (t1320)
MP (t2355)
CO (t2520)
Button (t635)
SB (t530)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2/images/graemlins/club.gif, 8/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls t50, CO calls t50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (t200) 4/images/graemlins/club.gif, 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, HERO ???

12-11-2005, 06:33 PM
over 30% chance of hitting + fold equity + shorter stack - some chance of higher flush (especially if two clubs fall) = o.k. to push your stack

i don't have this much courage. i think i hate to be eliminated but i think it's a smart play (probably really depends on the chance of everyone folding).

curtains
12-11-2005, 06:43 PM
I would probably move allin, yes. You cant be too picky when you are shortstacked, and the prospect of picking up 200 chips uncontested is extremely tempting.

curtains
12-11-2005, 06:45 PM
btw another important note....the 30% number is a bit whack. If you are up against something like A9 or an overpair, you will win the hand when all is said and done, about 40% of the time. If someone calls you with middle pair like 66, then ylou will win about 46% of the time. In all I thnik its a relatively simple push. The biggest nightmare is a higher flush draw, in which case you are winning only about 20% of the time.