PDA

View Full Version : Hypothetical $EV vs. table dynamic situation


ilya
12-10-2005, 11:36 PM
Standard Party SnG payout structure, 3-handed. Blinds are 50/100, stacks are:

button, 2500

SB, 1500

Hero (BB), 6000.

Button folds. SB pushes all-in, accidentally revealing AKs. You look down at 44. How common would you say it is for folding to be correct in this spot?

12-10-2005, 11:43 PM
I would say never. Not only because your ahead, but because I don't think you can bully them enough to make it +EV. Unless your read on the two is ubertight.

fluorescenthippo
12-11-2005, 12:15 AM
i dont quite see your point. looks to me like this is a clear call. run in it SnGPT to see the numbers since you know his exact hand

bones
12-11-2005, 12:18 AM
[ QUOTE ]
i dont quite see your point. looks to me like this is a clear call. run in it SnGPT to see the numbers since you know his exact hand

[/ QUOTE ]

He's hinting towards other factors besides the ev of this particular hand.

microbet
12-11-2005, 12:20 AM
I don't think in practice I would fold, but blinds are still low and if they were both awful enough it would probably be better to fold.

12-11-2005, 01:46 AM
Keeping the SB with the small stack alive in order to bully the medium stack might make sense if the blinds were say 200/400, but with the small stack having 15xBB here, I'd much rather take all his chips and beat the medium stack over the head with them.

Scuba Chuck
12-11-2005, 01:53 AM
If you win, it was a good call.

durron597
12-11-2005, 01:57 AM
Is button bullyable? If yes fold, if not call. Seems easy enough to me.

In fact I might call anyway because even if you double up the SB you still have a pretty big lead.

bones
12-11-2005, 02:01 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Standard Party SnG payout structure, 3-handed. Blinds are 50/100, stacks are:

button, 2500

SB, 1500

Hero (BB), 6000.

Button folds. SB pushes all-in, accidentally revealing AKs. You look down at 44. How common would you say it is for folding to be correct in this spot?

[/ QUOTE ]

Honestly, I'd base it on whether I play better 3 handed or HU with smallish blinds. There are some other factors involved such as caliber of the players, how aggressive the table has been, etc etc.