40bb pot let's play this out, street by street [Archive]

View Full Version : 40bb pot let's play this out, street by street

Maulik

12-08-2005, 12:18 AM

I think the flop, turn are okay. On the turn, I could be charging one of any of the donks through the nose who thinks their AKo, KQ, etc hands are good.

The river is fishy on my part and I should have kept it that way.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx (http://www.zerodivide.cx/converter)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 3/images/graemlins/club.gif, 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Button raises, 1 fold, BB calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls, MP3 3-bets, Button calls, BB calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (18.40 SB) 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif (6 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets, Hero raises, MP3 3-bets, Button caps, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Turn: (17.20 BB) K/images/graemlins/spade.gif (4 players)
MP1 bets, Hero raises, MP3 calls, Button 3-bets, MP1 caps, Hero calls, MP3 folds, Button calls.

River: (31.20 BB) 7/images/graemlins/club.gif (3 players)
MP1 bets, Hero raises, Button calls, MP1 3-bets, Hero calls, Button calls.

Final Pot: 40.20 BB

Maulik

12-08-2005, 12:18 AM

On second though the river isn't too bad, capping would have been terrible, imo.

Harv72b

12-08-2005, 12:26 AM

Looks good to me. Set over set sucks. /images/graemlins/frown.gif

SNOWBALL138

12-08-2005, 02:03 AM

I like every street except the river. Just call the river. It really looks like MP1 has 44 a lot of the time. Its hard to imagine him playing any hand with a K in it like this besides AK, and people usually raise AK. Plus it looks like button has either AK or KK, so that cuts down a lot on the possibility that your hand is good. When button has KK you are dead and when he has AK that leaves only one K left for MP1 to be holding.

If MP1 is whacko he could play KQ like this, but thats only 3 combos, which is the same as 44. You want to be 66 percent or better for a river raise. I'm not worried about pushing out the button so thats not the reason for the call. Its just that you are less than 66 percent to have the best hand after the turn action.

SNOWBALL138

12-08-2005, 02:07 AM

You think raising the river is good?

Maulik

12-08-2005, 06:05 AM

[ QUOTE ]
You think raising the river is good?

[/ QUOTE ]

I understand you're line now. but my reason for possibly raising the river if for an overplayed hand which does happen a lot at these stakes, although the clue was with the third opponent seeing the river. I think I can safely assomeone one villain over played their Kx and the other has a bigger boat.

Harv72b

12-08-2005, 07:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You think raising the river is good?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. You're looking at two people with trip kings a very large percentage of the time, even when it gets 3-bet. But at that point I think you have to give the benefit of the doubt and just call, without a read.