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View Full Version : Typical online overpair OOP scenario


aggie
12-07-2005, 03:49 PM
This comes up all the time and it’s a frustrating situation for me…….

2-4, 400 effective stacks. No reads ( I just sat down)

3 limpers including small blind and I make it 20 from BIG blind. SB folds and the other two call. ($64 in pot)

flop: 7d6d2s

I lead for $50, minraise by first limper, fold…..

What’s you’re standard line in this type of situation?

EDIT....By the way.....My Hand is QdQc

beset7
12-07-2005, 03:56 PM
How high your overpair is matters a lot. A lot of guys will min-raise with 88-99 here as well as a diamond draw or a set. With JJ+ I usually feel pretty good about reraising.

-Skeme-
12-07-2005, 03:56 PM
Player dependant. Usually fold and suspect set with that action. $200 NL players are usually pretty good at making it obvious they have sets. Sometimes I call and look at turn, the board is draw heavy here, Villain could be getting tricky with good draw?

A kinda want to 3-bet to decide what is going on, but this action is a set too often in the games I play in, so I don't. I also don't want to call and get bluffed out by a smaller overpair or a draw, etc.

aggie
12-07-2005, 04:00 PM
[ QUOTE ]
How high your overpair is matters a lot. A lot of guys will min-raise with 88-99 here as well as a diamond draw or a set. With JJ+ I usually feel pretty good about reraising.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sry...my hand was QdQc (i added that to the original post)

I'm always inclined to reraise here but that effectively pot commits me. I get all the chips in and i'm against a set a fairly high percentage of the time....Any guesses to how often random villian has a set?

-Skeme-
12-07-2005, 04:17 PM
With that action? More than 50%.

swarm
12-07-2005, 04:22 PM
Don't 3bet this, that is only folding hands that you beat. If you think you are good, call and check-raise all in on the turn.

However, you should have raised this more preflop, with 3 limpers you have to at least make this 30, especially OOP.

As played i'm probably folding as the min-raising villan still has a player to act after him and doesn't seem all that concerned, he wants money in the pot with his set.

pokerjoker
12-07-2005, 04:55 PM
make it 30pf....I probably fold if my PSB on flop gets reraised. PS is this full ring or 6 max?

pokerjoker
12-07-2005, 04:58 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Player dependant. Usually fold and suspect set with that action. $200 NL players are usually pretty good at making it obvious they have sets. Sometimes I call and look at turn, the board is draw heavy here, Villain could be getting tricky with good draw?

A kinda want to 3-bet to decide what is going on, but this action is a set too often in the games I play in, so I don't. I also don't want to call and get bluffed out by a smaller overpair or a draw, etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

I used to do the call and look at the turn line, but there are very few cards that come on the turn that change anything. I guess a A or K make it easier to fold and a Q make it easy to CR allin but if u call this and make any meaningful raise on the turn u have most of ur stack in.

ahnuld
12-07-2005, 05:07 PM
in 6 max, I push normally, or call to get in on the turn, in full ring i just fold without a read.

swarm
12-07-2005, 05:16 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Player dependant. Usually fold and suspect set with that action. $200 NL players are usually pretty good at making it obvious they have sets. Sometimes I call and look at turn, the board is draw heavy here, Villain could be getting tricky with good draw?

A kinda want to 3-bet to decide what is going on, but this action is a set too often in the games I play in, so I don't. I also don't want to call and get bluffed out by a smaller overpair or a draw, etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

I used to do the call and look at the turn line, but there are very few cards that come on the turn that change anything. I guess a A or K make it easier to fold and a Q make it easy to CR allin but if u call this and make any meaningful raise on the turn u have most of ur stack in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Calling the flop isn't about seeing a turn and bet by villan to see if you are ahead or not. You have to make your decision NOW, with the flop min-raise if you are ahead or behind. If you think you are behind a large % of the time to this particular villan, fold. If you call you are saying you have the best hand and are going forward accordingly.

3 betting only gets you pot stuck against hands that beat you and folds out hands you had beat. Only thing calling your raise is a better hand 90% of the time.

If you decide to call you are going with the stance that you have the best hand, thus your plan turns into trapping villan with is pair of 10's. Check raise him all in on a non-diamond turn and get max value.

Whether you are behind or ahead, if you move forward by calling the min-raise you are putting all of your money in with this hand by the river. The key is if you are moving forward to maximize the amount of money you get out of villan when you are ahead.

swarm
12-07-2005, 05:19 PM
[ QUOTE ]
in 6 max, I push normally, or call to get in on the turn, in full ring i just fold without a read.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you fold out the hands you beat and get called by hands that beat you? What's the point? Do you really think that villan would do this with a draw in a pot this size? Either he's drawing to a two outer or your are.

aggie
12-07-2005, 06:33 PM
[ QUOTE ]
So you fold out the hands you beat and get called by hands that beat you? What's the point? Do you really think that villan would do this with a draw in a pot this size? Either he's drawing to a two outer or your are.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd have to disagree with this....If villian does not have a set a big draw is a strong possibility. Minraising a big draw is a bad play in this spot but lot's of people at this level play subpar.....And often times that draw will check behind on the turn and villian gets a cheap shot at you. This is not a way ahead or way behind situation because the board is extremely draw heavy.

swarm
12-07-2005, 06:40 PM
sure sometimes it's a draw, i would say 90% of the time it is either a set or a pocket pair. If you are extremley worried about the draw, call and bet a non diamond turn.

scdavis0
12-07-2005, 06:49 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Usually fold and suspect set with that action.


[/ QUOTE ]

vomit

soah
12-07-2005, 06:55 PM
Raise more preflop. If you make it $30 preflop and get raised on the flop by any sort of rational player your hand is usually no good.

aggie
12-07-2005, 07:00 PM
This was a 6 max game for those who asked. I got all the money in on the flop and got beat by a set of 7's

I think the best way of thinking about this hand is by thinking about the different possibilities for the villian.

1. a set...This seems very likely and has me drawing to 2 outs. If i decide to continue with this hand villian will almost certainly stack me. (40%)

2. Big draw...This could the nut flush draw (11 outs), OESFD (14 outs), GSSFD (12 outs), pair + FD (13 outs)....It seems sort of goofy for villian to minraise one of these hands but it happens. And if i call the flop, villian might take the free card on the turn or bet me out of the hand.....If a diamond, straight card, or overcard comes, i still won't know where i'm at. If i reraise the flop I can't get villian off the hand and they will be close to a coinflip (25%)

3. Overpair to flop or TPTK....JJ's-8's or A7...This is my best case scenario and if i reraise i probably WON'T get paid off (if i call the flop and checkraise the turn i might get paid of a little). These hands may not be as probable as some think because they did not PFR (35%)

So my best guess is 40% of the time i'm getting my stack in with a 2 outer, 25% of the time i'm getting my stack in on a coinflip (probable small favorite) and 35% of the time i take a smaller pot down as a big favorite. The problem with this hand is i'm either losing a big pot or winning a small one (or coinflipping).

I know i'm over simplifying things and villian can have other hands or may actually fold a draw, etc.....But my hand is very difficult to play while villians is fairly simple (because if i continue villian should know what i have)....

After all this analysis i think the best play is to FOLD the flop against an unknown opponent although it's probably fairly close

ahnuld
12-07-2005, 07:09 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
in 6 max, I push normally, or call to get in on the turn, in full ring i just fold without a read.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you fold out the hands you beat and get called by hands that beat you? What's the point? Do you really think that villan would do this with a draw in a pot this size? Either he's drawing to a two outer or your are.

[/ QUOTE ]


I know english is a tricky language, so ill make myslef more clear. I will call to get allin on the turn and make a worse hand pay me off. As well, if I know villan is a calling station, I will push flop to get called by TP. Goodday sir.

ahnuld
12-07-2005, 07:14 PM
Sometimes folding is okay, but I have alot of notes that read "tard" and I gladly push or get in on the turn. But I play like an agressive monkey and do that with AK, so If they see me do that, they will riase me with TP and get allin when I have the overpair. My game is volatile, but I get paid off alot. 2200 swings today from hight to low. If you can deal with big swings, I suggest playing more agressive poker, and these hands become no brainer lets get allin deals.

You also could just call and play poker. Deal with the card that came up however you see fit. Straight card comes off, boom, bet out and see what he does, if he moves, fold, if he calls and river blanks, check call ect.

aggie
12-07-2005, 07:25 PM
[ QUOTE ]
You also could just call and play poker. Deal with the card that came up however you see fit. Straight card comes off, boom, bet out and see what he does, if he moves, fold, if he calls and river blanks, check call ect.


[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with most of what you say...I do play pretty aggressive (ranging from TAG to LAG depending on mood)....I don't however believe you can call the flop and make a decision after that....The next bet pot commits me (whether from him or me). If i call and bet out and he moves in i'm not making a "big laydown" on a draw heavy board. Maybe i can call with the intention of getting it allin on a safe card but i'm still getting stacked by a set (and i'm allowing draws to get there)...I think i pretty much have to make up my mind on the flop.

And yes, this hand is much easier to play if you have a wild LAG image...But that's not always possible (for instance because i just sat down)

ahnuld
12-07-2005, 07:49 PM
Good point, didnt realise the pot was so big already. Another point not yet dicussed is your prf. way to small imo. My rule is 4xbb + 1bb for each limper. If im a blind, I change it to 5xbb +1bb per limper, so I would have made it 28 to go or maybe 30 if I have a good image. 1 caller is alot easier to play against than 2. Then on the flop, you will be ahead alot of the time when only faced with one opponent, and if hes a solid guy, you could fold after that flop bet.

In your current situation, I do like pushing given my image, but I can definitly understand a fold. With your image, you are right, calling is wrong. But I think folding over 50% of the time is wrong too. I would push half the time and fold half the time just to mix it up and not get ppl playing around with me.

TheWorstPlayer
12-07-2005, 09:15 PM
a) I make it at least $25 preflop. These guys are going to have to pay to draw out on me.

b) Puuuuuuuuuush

If the guy's somewhat sane, you can call the flop and bet/fold a blank turn check/fold a flush turn. But pushing is more fun.

-Skeme-
12-08-2005, 02:30 PM
[ QUOTE ]
vomit

[/ QUOTE ]

When is this ever anything other than a set?